COVID-19: Ghana will record more Coronavirus cases. Expect it – University of Ghana lecturer

A lecturer at the Department of Biostatistics-School of Public Health at the University of Ghana, Dr. Justice Aheto has debunked claims made by national health experts that Ghana’s COVID-19 cases will soon decline.

He believes the country is about to hit the peak of the COVID-19 cases.

Speaking to Eyewitness News, Dr. Aheto asked the Health Service to be circumspect with case management and come clear on the pronouncement.

He said:

“We are still working together in order to get reliable data that can help us estimate the prevalence of the infection and the peak of it. We haven’t got there yet so I don’t know which data he is speaking to.

Something we need to know is the reproductive rate so we could tell how many people can be infected within a day to enable us to make a forecast on how many people will be affected, recovered, or dead with a specified time period.

It is only when we have this available to us before we can say that Ghana is at its peak when it comes to the infection. But as of now, we have not been able to get that data yet. The figures they churn out are accumulated figures and not daily data.

We need this data to be able to make a proper determination as to whether we are getting to the peak or we are decreasing. This has not been done yet so I don’t know which data the Ghana Health Service Director is using. In instances like this, you cannot determine at which rate you are reaching your peak.”