“If the mothers of the soldiers continue to protest, they may be a danger to Putin”

Putin is harshly cracking down on protests in Russia. Can struggle and sanctions improve inside unrest?

The protests usually are not now large enough to foresee a doable change. For now it’s only the elites who take to the streets. After Navalni, the illusions are over in Russia and the protests usually are not too huge. Maybe now the Russians are starting to be affected by the rise in costs and never with the ability to get cash out of it. Greater than for ideologies, they might take to the streets for sensible causes. Crucial in Russia in latest instances is the function of the moms of the Russian troopers despatched to struggle, lots of whom didn’t know that they had been going to struggle, however somewhat to some navy workout routines in Belarus. This can be harmful for Putin. However since he’s very strategic, he modified his rhetoric to say that there is no such thing as a struggle, however a particular operation. He thanked the troopers and their households and supplied them cash in case they die or one thing occurs to them, making them heroes of Russia. Thus he exhibits folks that they’re essential for the motherland and for the long run improvement of the nation. If the moms of the troopers proceed to protest, they could be a hazard to Putin.

The Kremlin has multiplied censorship in opposition to the press. Do the Russians actually know what is going on in Ukraine?

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They have no idea. Solely the Russians who’ve sources of knowledge from outdoors. In the mean time, they can’t be knowledgeable as a result of the web has been lower off. Solely sure circles of Russian will be knowledgeable.

Will Putin accept a hall that unites Crimea with Donbas or will he occupy all of Ukraine?

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In the mean time, he’s chasing all of Ukraine. Putin has despatched too many troopers and used an excessive amount of vitality to accept japanese Ukraine. In 2014, I believed that Crimea can be sufficient, that I might not need extra for financial causes, and we had been mistaken. Ultimately what issues is the good thought of ​​Nice Russia, so I feel it is going to go for extra territory. The issue is that the troopers take longer than the Russians had thought as a result of they’ve plenty of resistance. The destruction within the cities is beginning to get larger and larger. Putin thought that he would occupy crucial elements with out an excessive amount of destruction, however in the intervening time he’s sticking along with his plans as a result of he has already carried out an excessive amount of to say that he’s happy solely with Crimea.

Is Poland inexperienced concern concerned within the struggle if it lends fighter jets to Ukraine?

The Poles are a bit scared on the one hand as a result of they evaluate the occupation of Ukraine with the occupation of Poland by the Soviet Union, so that they evaluate so much what is going on in Ukraine now with the Polish previous. However, they’re afraid that they could be affected by being so near Russia. They worry that if Putin assaults them, NATO is not going to defend them.

Can European solidarity with Poland to take care of the wave of refugees settle its conflicts with Brussels?

The reception of refugees may be very totally different from that of 2015, when Poland opposed receiving it in opposition to the neighborhood bloc. After final yr’s conflicts over judicial reform, they now appear to have receded into the background as a result of Europe appears lastly reunited after so a few years.