Nearly one in 25 jobs in British Columbia is sitting unfilled, a striking sign of the growing labour shortage facing Canada as the economy heats up.
New data from the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) shows that the country doesn’t have enough workers for all the jobs available.
According to CFIB’s latest Help Wanted Survey, there were 399,000 vacant jobs in Canada in the fourth quarter of 2017, an increase of 38,000 vacancies, or 10.5 per cent, in just three months.
Leading the pack is British Columbia, where 3.9 per cent of all jobs sat vacant in the latest report, up from 3.6 per cent three months earlier. Quebec’s vacancy rate has also jumped to 3.4 per cent from 3.1 per cent.
The growing labour shortage comes at a time when Canada’s job market is putting in an historically strong performance.
The 5.8 per cent unemployment rate recorded in February ties for the lowest nationwide rate seen in Canada at least since 1976, a sign that the country’s economy has been firing on all cylinders lately.
Nonetheless, there are still more than 1.1 million people on the unemployment rolls in Canada. Some of that is structural — some percentage of people will always be between jobs — but some of it points to a continuing mismatch between Canada’s available labour force and the jobs being created in the country today.
Ted Mallett, vice president and chief economist at CFIB, says more retraining of workers in industries that are “in transition” would help mitigate the problem, by shifting workers from declining industries to growing ones.
The current labour shortage is a “particularly troublesome” problem for small businesses, he said.
“When a business of five people is missing one person, that’s 20 per cent of its workforce,” Mallett told HuffPost Canada on Tuesday. “That puts a significant crimp in their ability to offer products and services.”
But what’s problematic for businesses could be good for employees in this case, as the shortage of workers is likely to mean higher wages ahead.
Mallett says those businesses that are experiencing labour shortages are planning to raise employee pay by a larger margin than others. Currently, businesses with shortages are planning average wage hikes of 2.8 per cent in the coming year, versus 2.3 per cent for businesses not seeing labour shortages.
Highest vacancies in personal services, construction
The CFIB report broke down job vacancies by broad occupational categories, and found that personal service workers and construction workers are in highest demand, with vacancy rates of 4.5 per cent and 3.7 per cent, respectively.
Mallett says greater labour mobility would help address the labour shortage issue.
“If there are some regions doing better than others, it would be beneficial if we were able to pull resources from those areas that aren’t doing as well,” he said.
But it seems Canadians themselves aren’t as interested as they used to be in being a mobile labour force. Interprovincial migration has fallen by half since the 1970s, according to data from Statistics Canada.
Canadians are putting a greater priority on their families and social circles these days, making them less willing to move for work.
Mallett suggests policymakers could help to mitigate this problem by making it easier to move. For instance, aligning certification and standards across provinces would make it easier for licensed professionals to get accreditation in other provinces, he said.
The federal government is aiming to bring a total of 310,000 newcomers to Canada in 2018, it was revealed on Wednesday, with increases every year thereafter until 2020.
The plan reflects a new multi-year approach to immigration planning that experts say will allow for better preparation and integration.
By 2020, the yearly total will hit 340,000.
“Everyone has been of the opinion we need more workers, we need more skilled workers, we need more people to power our economy, address our real skills shortages, address our real labour market shortages and also address the regional nature of some of these requirements,” Immigration Minister Ahmed Hussen said Wednesday.
“So we’ve listened.”
The total for 2018 will still represent less than 1 per cent of Canada’s overall population. The greatest number of immigrants welcomed to the country in a single year remains just over 400,000, a record set in 1913.
The economic class, which includes people like caregivers, skilled labourers and professionals, is expected to continue to make up the biggest chunk, followed by the family class (parents, grandparents, children), then refugees and other humanitarian cases.
In 2017, the goal was to bring 300,000 new permanent residents to Canada, with nearly 58 per cent from the economic class.
The family class made up about 28 per cent of the overall target this year, while refugees and humanitarian cases accounted for another 14 per cent.
Hussen recently said that 300,000 arrivals per year would become “the new normal” for Canada, which is struggling with an aging workforce and declining birthrate.The number of working-age Canadians for every senior citizen is expected to drop from 4.2 in 2015 to 2.7 in 2030, according to the Department of Finance.
Source; Globalnews.ca and Huffenham